There are many tempos for songwriters and producers to choose from. Is there a way to know which ones are most likely to lead to a commercially successful work? We studied a total of ~6000 songs and uncovered some striking tempo choice trends.
Let’s dive straight into the facts.
WHAT WE LOOKED AT
In this study, we analyzed 3 sets of songs and identified their proportional tempo distribution:
- Global Top 200 (600 songs from Global Spotify Top 200 Charts Jul-Nov 2020)
- USA Top Viral Songs (5200 songs from USA Viral Top 50 Charts, Jan 2019 - Dec 2020)
- Spotify New Releases (251 songs - From various New Release playlists Feb 14 2021)
HIT POTENTIAL - What Is It?
In addition, we cross-referenced the tempo ranges from all of these songs with their associated Hit Potential scores to identify which tempo ranges had the highest Hit Potential scores on average.
In a previous study, we found that songs with a Hit Potential score of 67 and up were much more likely to be found in commercially successful sets. The red line in the graph allows us to see which tempo ranges had Hit Potential scores that passed this threshold.
Apart from a few minor differences, the Global Top 200 and USA Top Viral Songs show a virtually identical proportional tempo distribution, pointing to a certain universality of tempo preference where commercially successful songs are concerned.
In contrast, the Spotify New Releases set’s (In Red) tempo distribution exhibits several key differences from the Global Top 200 tempo distribution, indicating the presence of certain underrepresented and overrepresented tempo ranges.
Interestingly, there is virtually no difference between the two sets in the 120-129 range, which may be due to a common use of the default tempo of 120 BPM in most DAWs.
The most drastically underrepresented tempo range is 90-99, which differs from the Global set by 6.23 percentage points (34% difference). This particular tempo range also tends to gain the second highest Hit Potential score (71.36) on average.
The tempo range with the highest average Hit Potential score is 100-109 (71.66), which is also underrepresented in the New Releases set by 0.67 percentage points.
The most drastically overrepresented tempo range is 140-149 (by 2.86 percentage points). It is a fairly successful range, representing 9.09% of the Global set, with an average Hit Potential score of 69.44. However, the data suggests that the market may be saturated with songs in this tempo range.
TAKEAWAYS FOR ARTISTS AND LABELS
These results indicate the biggest gap in the market for songs in the 90-99 BPM tempo ranges. Global Top 200 and USA Viral preferences seem to indicate that such songs are likely to be streamed and shared more frequently than songs in other tempos.
This suggests that artists and labels may benefit from writing more songs in these tempo ranges.